When there is very little testing, “reported” or “confirmed” infections simply are not a meaningful statistic for tracking the pandemic. Has anyone found a source of information modeling actual infections, as opposed to statistics on the small minority of people who are allowed to get tested that the states and administration can’t figure out a way to avoid reporting?
Eventually, we will presumably be estimating the death count based on regional deaths above seasonal average, but right now I’m not sure anyone is really getting a handle on it.
My intuition is that the ratio of infections to reported positive tests is at least 10-1 and possibly as high as 100-1. And yes, I believe it is being deliberately covered up.