Poll Watching and Election Ground Reports 2020

This is a thread for watching the surge and early indications after the debates Trump is now surgin in several key states. Even Minnesota is in play this year for Trump.

For you bachelors out there, you can thank me. :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

Trump surges to the lead in Michigan

3 point lead in Florida

1 point lead in NC

Daily Tracker

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Trump reaches critical 52% approval rate

RUSH: Ive got some polling data here, and then well get back to the phones. Trump reaches critical 52% approval rate entering the final election stretch With just 12 days to go before the election, Trumps approval rating has popped to 52%. Now, that is considered traditionally and historically the Holy Grail of reelection numbers. This is Rasmussen Reports.

The presidents rating jumped from 49 to 52%. Its a job approval poll. It jumped three points in the three-day rolling average Rasmussen puts out in its Daily Presidential Tracking Poll. So Trump is at 52% approval. That is a key number. Traditionally, if an incumbent president reaches 52% in the final stretch, he doesnt lose the presidential election.

Fifty-two percent, its a magic number, and its that There might be a couple of exceptions to it over the years. But it is firmly established to have happened often enough to be a key indicator. In addition to the daily approval rating, Rasmussen and others this week have also charted Trumps rise in the presidential race, tightening to two to three points with Biden.

So its all moving in the right direction. In addition to that, Trump has picked up eight points in Ohio in one month, and the Drive-Bys are quiet. Its worthy to note that the Drive-By Media is ignoring this. But they made a big deal about Biden being up five in Ohio, and now that hes gone the opposite way, they are standing mute. Theyre conditioning voters to expect Biden to win.

Thats what this all is. But I think the Trump rallies are making the silent voter more bold. I think so more and more people are watching thats rallies. I think theyre getting a different psychological effect from them. Fox reported Wednesday that its poll showed a dramatic eight-point shift toward Trump and away from Biden in Ohio, and this is gonna get even worse after Bidens performance last night about the oil industry.

This is big in Pennsylvania and Ohio and some of these other states. For the first time in four months, Trump is ahead in the Real Clear Politics average. Its by less than a point, but everybody considers this the Holy Grail. The Real Clear Politics rolling average, the Poll of Polls, whatever it is. So theres a Mollie Hemingway story:

A few days before the first presidential debate, Fox News released polling showing that the situation for President Donald Trumps re-election campaign was so dire that he was down five points in Ohio. Ohio! Trump won Ohio by eight points in 2016, but now he was down five with just over a month remaining in the race.

Liberal[s] were thrilled! The result was major news, and journalists made sure to highlight the result. Folks at the Washington Post, MSNBC, New York Times, da-da-da-da-da-da-da, made a big deal about it. Fox News reported Wednesday that its polls showed a dramatic eight-point shift toward Trump and away from Biden, and guess whos silent? Drive-By Media.

The trend line is all in Trumps direction, exactly as it was in 2016. One more. This is Rasmussen. This is the National Daily Black Likely Voter Job Approval for President, and this is something. October 19th through 23rd, 2020. On Monday October 19th, Trumps approval number among African-American likely voters job approval was 25%. The next day, October 20th, it fell a point. Trumps job approval among black voters, 24%.

This is likely black voters. But on Wednesday it began to change. On Wednesday, October 21st, 31% job approval among black likely voters. Then Thursday, yesterday, 37% job approval black likely voters. Today, 46%. So weve gone: Monday, October 19th, 25%; Friday, October 23rd, 46% Black likely voter job approval, Donald Trump. What happened? What happened? The debate happened? Fiddy Cent? What happened?

Something happened.

Host Dan Bongino had a great podcast and series of interviews on October 23rd that is well worth watching. Bongino interviews Robert Cahaly of the Trafalgar polling organization that highlights a more positive outcome for President Trumps reelection.

Beyond the polling issue; there is a visible grassroots enthusiasm that is much more intense than 2016; there is also a much wider and deeper segment of an enlarged MAGA coalition that has organically activated to become much louder and more visible.

If Trump emerges the surprise winner once again this year, these reasons will likely be cited to explain his victory.

.

As November 3 approaches, many prognosticators are trying to convince Americans that former Vice President Joe Biden is a lock to win the presidency. Of course, they said the same about Hillary Clintons chances in 2016 and it didnt come to pass. Just as in 2016, there are tea leaves, if you will, indicating that President Trump will win again.
Here are ten of those tea leaves:

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That shift is too big to be accurate BUT it does indicate a trend and a direction. REMEMBER I posted a thread that said 20% of the black vote going for Trump would kill Biden. People are voting right now so this poll comes at a perfect time. IF 20% of blacks vote for Trump, then all the fake news reports that Biden will win are bullshit. Trump will win.

Everybody here heckled me when I posted that thread but this is precisely why I posted it.

" . . . Even 20 percent African-American support for Trump would all but dismantle Democratic Party presidential hopes for 2020. Hillary Clinton lost the 2016 election with 88 percent of the black vote. That was about a six-point falloff from Barack Obamas share of the black vote in 2012.

But far more importantly, an estimated 2 million of the African-American voters who cast ballots for Obama in 2012 simply did not show up at the polls in 2016 to vote for the off-putting Clinton.

Even a small drop in African-American turnout or anything less than the usual 85 percent to 90 percent supermajority for a Democratic presidential candidate on Election Day can prove fatal .

Its saying that Trump has 46% of the Black vote.

I understand, but I think we can agree that will not happen. There is no way that Trump will get 46%.
But thats okay. If he gets 25% he wins. Thats my point.

SLAM in Bidens FACE

Why are you spreading lies?

Its more like:
Biden 10% or less / Trump 90% or more.

Whos paying you?

This has nothing to do with you! Trying to provoke more nonsense again! Par for the course for a dimwit like you!

Why do we have to continue putting up with this?
@Patriot @Tyfoon

You are a salesman of the mainstream and selling fake polls.
Shame, shame, shame.

Then dont watch and dont comment you are free to ignore it yet you cant help yourelf. This clearly is harassment on your part because you being such a loser dont have nothing better to do! I hope the moderators address this problem to which many are finally fed up with you. Do us all a favor and go play in traffic or something. Make yourself happy and get a life!

@Patriot @Tyfoon

My God you cant see the forest for the one tree in front of you !
Trump could get twice that and if he continues to ignore POOR whites and women he will suffer an embarrassing defeat !!!
Just imagine what POOR whites think when they see the Platinum plan were Trump gives $500 BILLIONS to blacks , paying for 500, 000 new black owned businesses and assorted crap . How does that sit with VETERANS ? How does that sit with LAW enforcement ?
Annual budget for Veterans = $220.2 billion
annual budget for Law enforcement =$193 billion
Annual budget for HUD = 47.9 billion
TOTAL COMBINED = 461.1

https://cdn.donaldjtrump.com/public-files/press_assets/president-trump-platinum-plan-final-version.pdf

I think your analysis is correct.
Not all whites are happy with the way the budget is being allotted.

One thing is for sure.
There is no guarantee that Trump will win.

Take into account the massive, massive fraud Dems are going to pull.
And the fake narratives and the fake % the mainstream (and fake polls) are spreading to benefit Biden / Harris.

So my point is, why are such fake narratives being spread by someone who claims to be a Trump supporter and conservative?

There is something wrong with the picture, dont you think?