One thing I’ll raise, that I haven’t seen brought up yet, is that right now the protests in China is setting up a perfect storm of opportunity for the Party in China to utilize whatever “influence” they have over Musk to remove “objectionable” content from Twitter.
For months, many media figures have observed that this opportunity existed… but so far…with protests raging across China…we have seen little from Chinese officials trying utilize that power to control what is on Twitter. And it doesn’t seem to be doing much to stop the outflow (with perhaps the exception of trying to bury it with spam…)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/06/02/musk-twitter-tesla-china-impact
While Musk has said he would have Twitter permit an even wider range of discourse than it does today, the ability of Chinese leaders to affect Musk’s fortunes could embolden them to ask that he identify opposition and American Twitter users, block content the government considers illegal, or at least allow its own propaganda to spread unchecked, these people said.
It doesn’t seem the spam war is working all that well…as plenty of journalist and activist are getting videos out and folks are finding them and sharing them on Twitter…so, all seems normal at the moment… but will be an interesting high stakes test for just how realized those mental models of how the Chinese care about Twitter are…I always kinda felt that many of the concerns fundamentally misunderstood how the Chinese themselves must understand Twitter and it’s value…and how trying to wield that sort of influence might ultimately undermine themselves.
But if we are ever going to see…I imagine we might see it now.
Folks keep asking Musk to do something about Spam, and while I don’t expect him to weigh in explicitly on spam in relation to Chinese protests (unlike how he did in Iran)…it seems likely the spam itself may be dealt with as most spam is eventually. And perhaps that is for the best…although, I guess that depends on what you view is the favored outcome here (ie. bad outcomes for Twitter / Musk…or the Chinese protests not being tainted in the eyes of the Chinese because of meaningless actions or cavalier statements from American observers that can be used to trigger Nationalism among protesting Chinese and pull people back in line).